Portugal
Liga Portugal
Model probabilities and the settled record for the Liga Portugal.
Liga Portugal is Portugal's top division with 18 clubs and 34 rounds. The gap between the leading clubs and the rest is wide, which the attack and defence ratings capture and the confidence figure reports.
FC Porto lead the Liga Portugal with 24 points from 8 matches, 5 ahead of Benfica. Next up: Braga vs Gil Vicente on Monday, October 19.
The figures on this page are the settled Liga Portugal record of the model: the hit rate is the share of 1X2 picks that came in, the Brier score measures how well the probabilities matched the results (lower is better), and the return is measured against the closing market price with one unit per match. Nothing is removed after the fact. How these figures are produced Full Liga Portugal track record.
Fixture and result data last updated Oct 19, 06:00 AM GMT+2
- Settled
- 66
- Hit rate
- 53.0%
- 35 of 66 picks
- Brier
- 0.541
- 1X2, 3-outcome; lower is better, 0.667 = uniform guess
- ROI
- -6.8%
- flat stake, closing odds, 55 bets
By month: Aug 2026 48.5% (33) · Sep 2026 52.0% (25) · Oct 2026 75.0% (8)
Upcoming
Open a fixture for its public pre-match overview: kick-off, standings, form and head-to-head.
Predictions are for members
Predictions for these Liga Portugal fixtures — pick, probabilities and goal markets — are for members. Create a free account and see them for 7 days.
Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alverca | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela da Amadora | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicão | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 8 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia AC | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Recent results
Final scores of the latest settled matches; open a match for the model’s settled pick.
Predictions are for members
66 settled Liga Portugal picks with outcome and score are for members. Create a free account and see the full record for 7 days.
Other leagues
Team strengths for the Liga Portugal are refitted as results come in; probabilities on older matches reflect the fit at publication time.