Europe
Europa League
Model probabilities and the settled record for the Europa League.
The UEFA Europa League is Europe's second club competition: a 36-team league phase of eight matches per club, then knock-out rounds. Teams come from different domestic leagues and squads rotate heavily in the cup; the model is fitted on the competition's own history and confidence here is usually lower than in league matches.
Benfica lead the Europa League on goal difference, level on 12 points with AFC Bournemouth after 4 matches.
The figures on this page are the settled Europa League record of the model: the hit rate is the share of 1X2 picks that came in, the Brier score measures how well the probabilities matched the results (lower is better), and the return is measured against the closing market price with one unit per match. Nothing is removed after the fact. How these figures are produced Full Europa League track record.
Fixture and result data last updated Nov 5, 11:20 PM GMT+1
- Settled
- 18
- Hit rate
- 44.4%
- 8 of 18 picks
- Brier
- 0.668
- 1X2, 3-outcome; lower is better, 0.667 = uniform guess
- ROI
- -13.1%
- flat stake, closing odds, 18 bets
Upcoming
Open a fixture for its public pre-match overview: kick-off, standings, form and head-to-head.
No upcoming fixtures published for this league yet.
Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  AFC Bournemouth | 4 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencváros | 4 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union St.Gilloise | 4 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiacos | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI Crete | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Prague | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 |  Hoffenheim | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 |  NK Celje | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 |  Salzburg | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |  Milan | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia Białystok | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 |  Viktoria Plzeň | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrøm | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat Armenia | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Recent results
Final scores of the latest settled matches; open a match for the model’s settled pick.
- FinishedSturm Graz2NK Celje3
- FinishedBenfica3Lech Poznań1
- FinishedHapoel Beer Sheva0OFI Crete2
- FinishedAZ Alkmaar1Juventus2
- FinishedCeltic3Beşiktaş2
- FinishedSunderland0Dinamo Zagreb2
- FinishedCelta Vigo1Union St.Gilloise2
- FinishedBayer Leverkusen0Marseille1
- FinishedTorreense3Ararat Armenia2
- FinishedReal Sociedad1Lyon1
Predictions are for members
18 settled Europa League picks with outcome and score are for members. Create a free account and see the full record for 7 days.
Other leagues
Team strengths for the Europa League are refitted as results come in; probabilities on older matches reflect the fit at publication time.