FootballAnalytics.pro

Statistical football predictions

Probabilities, not promises.

A Dixon-Coles model rates every fixture in the 10 leagues it is trained on. Each prediction is settled after the final whistle and stays published, whether it won or lost.

Today's predictionsHow the model works

The record so far

Full performance
Settled
177
Hit rate
48.0%
85 of 177 picks
Brier
0.627
0.667 = uniform guess
Flat-stake ROI
-14.1%
closing odds, 138 bets

Covered leagues, Jul 23 – Sep 3 · Sep 2026: 60.0% over 10 matches.

Predictions · Today

All predictions

No covered fixtures scheduled. The list fills as new fixtures are published.

Latest settled

All results

How it works

  1. 1

    Fit

    Attack and defence strengths per team are fitted on recent results with the Dixon-Coles adjustment for low-scoring draws, weighted towards the latest matches.

  2. 2

    Predict

    Expected goals for both sides give a full score distribution, from which 1X2, over/under, both-teams-to-score and handicap probabilities follow.

  3. 3

    Settle

    Every prediction is checked against the final score. Nothing is edited or removed afterwards, and the calibration curve is refitted on the outcomes.

Read the methodology

10 leagues covered

Fixtures outside these leagues appear without a model rating and are not counted in the record.

Probabilities are estimates from a statistical model, not guarantees and not betting advice. If you gamble, only stake what you can afford to lose. 18+.