About

footballanalytics.pro publishes match probabilities from a Dixon-Coles statistical model for a fixed set of leagues, settles every prediction against the final score and keeps the full record public: hit rate, Brier score, calibration and flat-stake returns, including the months that went badly.

The site is built for people who want to see a model's output and its track record side by side, in the format a stats site would use: tables, percentages and a chart where it earns its place.

It is not a tipster service, and nothing on the site is a recommendation to bet. The probabilities are estimates from a model that only knows past results. They are not guarantees, and a positive month says little on its own; the calibration table and the sample sizes are the honest view.

There are no hidden or edited picks. If a prediction was published, it is on the results page.

The site is operated by swissdigital.life, based in Switzerland. Contact: info@swissdigital.life. Questions about a specific number are welcome; if something on the record looks wrong, we would rather hear about it.

Fixtures, results and crests come from third-party data providers and may lag live events. The probabilities are our own. See the methodology page for the model, the settlement rules and the metric definitions.

Sports betting carries a real risk of financial loss. This site is intended for adults (18+). If you gamble, only stake what you can afford to lose, and seek help if gambling stops being a choice: in Switzerland, the Sucht Schweiz helpline is available at 0800 040 080.