Norway
Eliteserien
Model probabilities and the settled record for the Eliteserien.
The Eliteserien is Norway's top division: 16 clubs, 30 rounds, a calendar-year season from April to December. A high-scoring league where the model's over 2.5 goals signal is strong, which is why it was whitelisted in October 2026.
Bodø/Glimt lead the Eliteserien on goal difference, level on 56 points with Viking after 23 matches. Next up: Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg on Sunday, October 18.
The figures on this page are the settled Eliteserien record of the model: the hit rate is the share of 1X2 picks that came in, the Brier score measures how well the probabilities matched the results (lower is better), and the return is measured against the closing market price with one unit per match. Nothing is removed after the fact. How these figures are produced Full Eliteserien track record.
Fixture and result data last updated Oct 17, 08:20 PM GMT+2
- Settled
- 88
- Hit rate
- 53.4%
- 47 of 88 picks
- Brier
- 0.555
- 1X2, 3-outcome; lower is better, 0.667 = uniform guess
- ROI
- -32.5%
- flat stake, closing odds, 11 bets
By month: Jul 2026 57.7% (26) · Aug 2026 50.0% (28) · Sep 2026 56.5% (23) · Oct 2026 45.5% (11)
Upcoming
Open a fixture for its public pre-match overview: kick-off, standings, form and head-to-head.
Predictions are for members
Predictions for these Eliteserien fixtures — pick, probabilities and goal markets — are for members. Create a free account and see them for 7 days.
Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodø/Glimt | 23 | +38 | 56 |
| 2 |  Viking | 23 | +37 | 56 |
| 3 |  Tromsø | 22 | +11 | 39 |
| 4 |  Molde | 22 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 22 | +9 | 34 |
| 6 |  Lillestrøm | 22 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 |  Brann | 22 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 |  Fredrikstad | 23 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 |  KFUM | 22 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 |  Hamarkameratene | 23 | -15 | 26 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 22 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 |  Aalesund | 23 | -12 | 24 |
| 14 |  Vålerenga | 22 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund | 23 | -24 | 19 |
| 16 |  Start | 22 | -24 | 16 |
Recent results
Final scores of the latest settled matches; open a match for the model’s settled pick.
Predictions are for members
88 settled Eliteserien picks with outcome and score are for members. Create a free account and see the full record for 7 days.
Other leagues
Team strengths for the Eliteserien are refitted as results come in; probabilities on older matches reflect the fit at publication time.