Europe
Conference League
Model probabilities and the settled record for the Conference League.
The UEFA Conference League is Europe's third club competition: 36 teams, a league phase of six matches per club, then knock-out rounds. Clubs from smaller leagues and wide gaps in strength make it a distinct test for the model; it is fitted on the competition's own history and confidence values should be read with care.
Lugano lead the Conference League on goal difference, level on 9 points with Panathinaikos after 3 matches.
The figures on this page are the settled Conference League record of the model: the hit rate is the share of 1X2 picks that came in, the Brier score measures how well the probabilities matched the results (lower is better), and the return is measured against the closing market price with one unit per match. Nothing is removed after the fact. How these figures are produced Full Conference League track record.
Fixture and result data last updated Nov 5, 11:20 PM GMT+1
- Settled
- 17
- Hit rate
- 47.1%
- 8 of 17 picks
- Brier
- 0.600
- 1X2, 3-outcome; lower is better, 0.667 = uniform guess
- ROI
- -32.7%
- flat stake, closing odds, 17 bets
Upcoming
Open a fixture for its public pre-match overview: kick-off, standings, form and head-to-head.
No upcoming fixtures published for this league yet.
Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lugano | 3 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 |  Panathinaikos | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 |  FC Twente | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |  Brann | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |  FC København | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Mjällby | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 |  St.Truiden | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ajax | 3 | +6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Hajduk Split | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Freiburg | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atalanta | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |  Braga | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 |  Gent | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |  Riga FC | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  Thun | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |  Borac Banja Luka | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 |  Jablonec | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 24 |  AGF | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 25 |  Nordsjælland | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 26 |  Egnatia | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |  Iberia 1999 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Pafos FC | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 31 |  Getafe | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |  Heart of Midlothian | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 33 |  KuPS | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Midtjylland | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |  FK Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | -10 | 0 |
Recent results
Final scores of the latest settled matches; open a match for the model’s settled pick.
- FinishedGetafe0Brighton & Hove Albion1
- FinishedFC Twente3Pafos FC1
- FinishedFC København2Iberia 19991
- FinishedMonaco2Nordsjælland0
- FinishedLugano3FK Kauno Žalgiris0
- FinishedUniversitatea Craiova2Egnatia0
- FinishedSt.Truiden1Brann1
- FinishedRiga FC1Jablonec1
- FinishedPanathinaikos2CSKA Sofia1
- FinishedAtalanta1Kairat Almaty1
Predictions are for members
17 settled Conference League picks with outcome and score are for members. Create a free account and see the full record for 7 days.
Other leagues
Team strengths for the Conference League are refitted as results come in; probabilities on older matches reflect the fit at publication time.