Norway

1. Divisjon

Model probabilities and the settled record for the 1. Divisjon.

The 1. Divisjon (OBOS-ligaen) is Norway's second tier: 16 clubs, 30 rounds, a calendar-year season. Whitelisted in September 2026 because the model's hit rate in the goal markets (over 2.5, both teams to score) is high here.

FK Haugesund lead the 1. Divisjon with 59 points from 26 matches, 2 ahead of Strømsgodset. Next up: Egersund vs Sogndal on Sunday, October 18.

The figures on this page are the settled 1. Divisjon record of the model: the hit rate is the share of 1X2 picks that came in, the Brier score measures how well the probabilities matched the results (lower is better), and the return is measured against the closing market price with one unit per match. Nothing is removed after the fact. How these figures are produced Full 1. Divisjon track record.

Fixture and result data last updated Oct 17, 06:00 AM GMT+2

Settled: 128
Hit rate: 53.9%; 69 of 128 picks
Brier: 0.586; 1X2, 3-outcome; lower is better, 0.667 = uniform guess
ROI: +13.4%; flat stake, closing odds, 16 bets

By month: Jun 2026 52.0% (25) · Jul 2026 37.5% (16) · Aug 2026 57.5% (40) · Sep 2026 41.7% (24) · Oct 2026 73.9% (23)

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1. Divisjon

8 matches

Predictions are for members

Predictions for these 1. Divisjon fixtures — pick, probabilities and goal markets — are for members. Create a free account and see them for 7 days.

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Table

from the fixtures feed, refreshed every 6 hours

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FK Haugesund	26	19	2	5	78–40	+38	59
2	Strømsgodset	26	17	6	3	71–33	+38	57
3	Kongsvinger	26	17	5	4	77–42	+35	56
4	Stabæk	26	15	4	7	63–34	+29	49
5	Odds Ballklubb	26	13	6	7	53–39	+14	45
6	Bryne	26	12	3	11	35–34	+1	39
7	Hødd	26	10	5	11	42–52	-10	35
8	Egersund	26	9	6	11	39–50	-11	33
9	Ranheim	26	9	5	12	64–65	-1	32
10	Strømmen	26	8	6	12	46–58	-12	30
11	Moss	26	8	5	13	40–55	-15	29
12	Lyn	26	8	4	14	40–57	-17	28
13	Sandnes Ulf	26	7	5	14	37–50	-13	26
14	Sogndal	25	6	5	14	39–56	-17	23
15	Åsane(-1)	26	6	5	15	37–60	-23	22
16	Raufoss	25	6	2	17	28–64	-36	20

Recent results

Final scores of the latest settled matches; open a match for the model’s settled pick.

Results archive

Predictions are for members

128 settled 1. Divisjon picks with outcome and score are for members. Create a free account and see the full record for 7 days.

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Other leagues

Team strengths for the 1. Divisjon are refitted as results come in; probabilities on older matches reflect the fit at publication time.