Netherlands
Eredivisie
Model probabilities and the settled record for the Eredivisie.
The Eredivisie is the top flight of the Netherlands: 18 clubs and 34 rounds, followed by European and relegation play-offs. The league's open, high-scoring style is reflected in the goal-market probabilities.
Feyenoord lead the Eredivisie with 23 points from 9 matches, 3 ahead of AZ Alkmaar.
The figures on this page are the settled Eredivisie record of the model: the hit rate is the share of 1X2 picks that came in, the Brier score measures how well the probabilities matched the results (lower is better), and the return is measured against the closing market price with one unit per match. Nothing is removed after the fact. How these figures are produced Full Eredivisie track record.
Fixture and result data last updated Oct 18, 11:21 PM GMT+2
- Settled
- 73
- Hit rate
- 46.6%
- 34 of 73 picks
- Brier
- 0.629
- 1X2, 3-outcome; lower is better, 0.667 = uniform guess
- ROI
- -25.8%
- flat stake, closing odds, 61 bets
By month: Aug 2026 51.5% (33) · Sep 2026 41.7% (24) · Oct 2026 43.8% (16)
Upcoming
Open a fixture for its public pre-match overview: kick-off, standings, form and head-to-head.
No upcoming fixtures published for this league yet.
Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 9 | +21 | 23 |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar | 9 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 4 |  Ajax | 9 | +15 | 18 |
| 5 |  FC Twente | 9 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 9 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 |  FC Groningen | 9 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen | 9 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Excelsior | 9 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  FC Utrecht | 9 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 9 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 9 | -12 | 7 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 9 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 9 | -9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 9 | -17 | 2 |
Recent results
Final scores of the latest settled matches; open a match for the model’s settled pick.
- FinishedNEC Nijmegen2Fortuna Sittard2
- FinishedFC Twente1FC Utrecht2
- FinishedFC Groningen2Ajax5
- FinishedCambuur2AZ Alkmaar2
- FinishedPEC Zwolle4Go Ahead Eagles1
- FinishedSparta Rotterdam3Willem II2
- FinishedTelstar3Feyenoord4
- FinishedADO Den Haag2PSV Eindhoven1
- FinishedSC Heerenveen4Excelsior0
- FinishedExcelsior1FC Groningen5
Predictions are for members
73 settled Eredivisie picks with outcome and score are for members. Create a free account and see the full record for 7 days.
Other leagues
Team strengths for the Eredivisie are refitted as results come in; probabilities on older matches reflect the fit at publication time.