Poland
Ekstraklasa
Model probabilities and the settled record for the Ekstraklasa.
The Ekstraklasa is Poland's top division: 18 clubs, 33 rounds and a straight table with no split. Whitelisted in October 2026; the sample is still 80-90 matches, so its record is tracked separately.
Górnik Zabrze lead the Ekstraklasa with 25 points from 10 matches, 2 ahead of Legia Warszawa. Next up: Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice on Sunday, October 18.
The figures on this page are the settled Ekstraklasa record of the model: the hit rate is the share of 1X2 picks that came in, the Brier score measures how well the probabilities matched the results (lower is better), and the return is measured against the closing market price with one unit per match. Nothing is removed after the fact. How these figures are produced Full Ekstraklasa track record.
Fixture and result data last updated Oct 18, 06:00 AM GMT+2
- Settled
- 91
- Hit rate
- 51.6%
- 47 of 91 picks
- Brier
- 0.598
- 1X2, 3-outcome; lower is better, 0.667 = uniform guess
- ROI
- -47.1%
- flat stake, closing odds, 7 bets
By month: Jul 2026 63.6% (11) · Aug 2026 50.0% (36) · Sep 2026 44.8% (29) · Oct 2026 60.0% (15)
Upcoming
Open a fixture for its public pre-match overview: kick-off, standings, form and head-to-head.
Predictions are for members
Predictions for these Ekstraklasa fixtures — pick, probabilities and goal markets — are for members. Create a free account and see them for 7 days.
Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Górnik Zabrze | 10 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Legia Warszawa | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 3 |  Lech Poznań | 9 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Pogoń Szczecin | 10 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |  GKS Katowice | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 |  Wisła Kraków | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 |  Piast Gliwice | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Korona Kielce | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Zagłębie Lubin | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Jagiellonia Białystok | 9 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Cracovia | 11 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |  Motor Lublin | 11 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 |  Wisła Płock | 9 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 |  Widzew Łódź | 11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 |  Radomiak Radom | 10 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 |  Śląsk Wrocław | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Raków Częstochowa | 11 | -11 | 6 |
Recent results
Final scores of the latest settled matches; open a match for the model’s settled pick.
- FinishedCracovia1Legia Warszawa1
- FinishedGKS Katowice0Pogoń Szczecin1
- FinishedMotor Lublin3Śląsk Wrocław2
- FinishedWidzew Łódź0Wisła Kraków0
- FinishedWieczysta Kraków1Raków Częstochowa2
- FinishedGKS Katowice2Wieczysta Kraków1
- FinishedRadomiak Radom2Motor Lublin3
- FinishedLegia Warszawa2Wisła Kraków0
- FinishedPogoń Szczecin2Korona Kielce0
- FinishedPiast Gliwice2Widzew Łódź1
Predictions are for members
91 settled Ekstraklasa picks with outcome and score are for members. Create a free account and see the full record for 7 days.
Other leagues
Team strengths for the Ekstraklasa are refitted as results come in; probabilities on older matches reflect the fit at publication time.