Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Juarez
The model leans Vancouver Whitecaps at 69%. Expected goals: Vancouver Whitecaps 3.19, FC Juarez 0.91. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 58%. Vancouver Whitecaps won 3 of their last 6; FC Juarez won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vancouver Whitecaps | 81% | 1.23 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 12% | 8.15 | – | – | – |
| 2FC Juarez | 7% | 14.90 | – | – | – |
Pick: Vancouver Whitecaps. Calibrated probability 69% (raw model output 81%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 93%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.19 – 0.91| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% |
| Both teams to score | Yes57% | No43% |
Most likely scores
- 3–09.0%
- 2–08.5%
- 3–18.2%
- 2–17.7%
- 4–07.2%
- 4–16.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 68% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Vancouver Whitecaps −2| Vancouver Whitecaps line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 64% | – | 36% |
| -1 | 64% | 18% | 19% |
| -0.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
| 0 | 81% | 11% | 7% |
| +0.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
| +1 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.