Vancouver Whitecaps
CF Montréal
The model leans Vancouver Whitecaps at 70%. Expected goals: Vancouver Whitecaps 3.24, CF Montréal 0.77. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 52%.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vancouver Whitecaps | 84% | 1.19 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 11% | 9.09 | – | – | – |
| 2CF Montréal | 5% | 19.76 | – | – | – |
Pick: Vancouver Whitecaps. Calibrated probability 70% (raw model output 84%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 95%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.24 – 0.77| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| Both teams to score | Yes52% | No48% |
Most likely scores
- 3–010.3%
- 2–09.5%
- 4–08.4%
- 3–18.0%
- 2–17.4%
- 4–16.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 62% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Vancouver Whitecaps −2| Vancouver Whitecaps line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 67% | – | 33% |
| -1 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| -0.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
| 0 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +0.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
| +1 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.