FC Juarez
CF America
The model leans CF America at 36%. Expected goals: FC Juarez 1.47, CF America 1.53. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 61%. FC Juarez won 2 of their last 6; CF America won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Juarez | 36% | 2.81 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.77 | – | – | – |
| 2CF America | 38% | 2.64 | – | – | – |
Pick: CF America. Calibrated probability 36% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.47 – 1.53| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% |
| Both teams to score | Yes60% | No40% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.2%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–07.3%
- 2–26.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 53% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FC Juarez 0| FC Juarez line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | – | 63% |
| 0 | 37% | 24% | 39% |
| +0.5 | 61% | – | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 20% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.