Kriens
Stade Nyonnais
The model leans Kriens at 42%. Expected goals: Kriens 1.55, Stade Nyonnais 1.16. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%. Kriens won 3 of their last 6; Stade Nyonnais won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kriens | 45% | 2.21 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.63 | – | – | – |
| 2Stade Nyonnais | 27% | 3.68 | – | – | – |
Pick: Kriens. Calibrated probability 42% (raw model output 45%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.55 – 1.16| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Both teams to score | Yes54% | No46% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–26.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 42% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Kriens −0.5| Kriens line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 23% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | – | 54% |
| 0 | 46% | 25% | 28% |
| +0.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.