Kriens
Yverdon
The model leans Yverdon at 60%. Expected goals: Kriens 1.27, Yverdon 2.73. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 68%. Kriens won 3 of their last 6; Yverdon won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kriens | 15% | 6.74 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 18% | 5.69 | – | – | – |
| 2Yverdon | 68% | 1.48 | – | – | – |
Pick: Yverdon. Calibrated probability 60% (raw model output 68%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 85%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.27 – 2.73| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| Both teams to score | Yes67% | No33% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.7%
- 1–37.9%
- 0–26.8%
- 1–16.3%
- 0–36.2%
- 2–25.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 62% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Yverdon −1.5| Kriens line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 9% | 85% |
| -0.5 | 15% | – | 85% |
| 0 | 15% | 16% | 68% |
| +0.5 | 32% | – | 68% |
| +1 | 32% | 20% | 48% |
| +1.5 | 52% | – | 48% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.