FC Rapperswil-Jona
Kriens
The model leans FC Rapperswil-Jona at 56%. Expected goals: FC Rapperswil-Jona 2.67, Kriens 1.36. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 70%. FC Rapperswil-Jona won 1 of their last 6; Kriens won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Rapperswil-Jona | 65% | 1.55 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 18% | 5.43 | – | – | – |
| 2Kriens | 17% | 5.86 | – | – | – |
Pick: FC Rapperswil-Jona. Calibrated probability 56% (raw model output 65%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 83%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.67 – 1.36| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| Both teams to score | Yes69% | No31% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.6%
- 3–17.7%
- 1–16.5%
- 2–06.3%
- 2–25.9%
- 3–05.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 63% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FC Rapperswil-Jona −1| FC Rapperswil-Jona line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 45% | – | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 21% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | – | 35% |
| 0 | 65% | 17% | 18% |
| +0.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.