FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
FC Rapperswil-Jona
The model leans FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at 50%. Expected goals: FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2.15, FC Rapperswil-Jona 1.43. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 68%. FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy won 4 of their last 6; FC Rapperswil-Jona won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 53% | 1.88 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.46 | – | – | – |
| 2FC Rapperswil-Jona | 24% | 4.09 | – | – | – |
Pick: FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 53%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.15 – 1.43| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| Both teams to score | Yes67% | No33% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.2%
- 1–18.6%
- 3–16.6%
- 2–26.6%
- 2–06.5%
- 1–26.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy −0.5| FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 33% | – | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 21% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | – | 46% |
| 0 | 54% | 21% | 25% |
| +0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.