FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Nyonnais
The model leans FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at 58%. Expected goals: FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2.01, Stade Nyonnais 0.76. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 53%. FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy won 4 of their last 6; Stade Nyonnais won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 66% | 1.52 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.52 | – | – | – |
| 2Stade Nyonnais | 12% | 8.21 | – | – | – |
Pick: FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Calibrated probability 58% (raw model output 66%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 88%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.01 – 0.76| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams to score | Yes46% | No54% |
Most likely scores
- 2–012.7%
- 1–012.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–19.6%
- 3–08.5%
- 3–16.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 48% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy −1| FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | – | 33% |
| 0 | 67% | 20% | 13% |
| +0.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.