Kriens
Winterthur
The model leans Kriens at 37%. Expected goals: Kriens 1.83, Winterthur 1.81. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 71%. Kriens won 3 of their last 6; Winterthur won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kriens | 39% | 2.58 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.25 | – | – | – |
| 2Winterthur | 38% | 2.65 | – | – | – |
Pick: Kriens. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 39%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.83 – 1.81| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% |
| Both teams to score | Yes70% | No30% |
Most likely scores
- 1–18.7%
- 2–18.0%
- 1–27.9%
- 2–27.2%
- 3–14.9%
- 1–04.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Kriens 0| Kriens line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 21% | – | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 19% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| 0 | 40% | 22% | 39% |
| +0.5 | 61% | – | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 18% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.