Young Boys
Sion
The model leans Sion at 38%. Expected goals: Young Boys 1.73, Sion 1.85. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 70%. Young Boys won 4 of their last 6; Sion won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Young Boys | 36% | 2.79 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.21 | – | – | – |
| 2Sion | 40% | 2.47 | – | – | – |
Pick: Sion. Calibrated probability 38% (raw model output 40%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.73 – 1.85| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| Both teams to score | Yes69% | No31% |
Most likely scores
- 1–18.9%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–17.7%
- 2–27.1%
- 0–15.1%
- 1–35.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Young Boys 0| Young Boys line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 19% | – | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 18% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | – | 63% |
| 0 | 37% | 22% | 41% |
| +0.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | – | 22% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.