Lausanne
Young Boys
The model leans Young Boys at 50%. Expected goals: Lausanne 1.53, Young Boys 2.20. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 71%. Lausanne won 1 of their last 6; Young Boys won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lausanne | 26% | 3.86 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.53 | – | – | – |
| 2Young Boys | 52% | 1.92 | – | – | – |
Pick: Young Boys. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 52%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.53 – 2.20| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% |
| Both teams to score | Yes70% | No30% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.9%
- 1–18.1%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–36.5%
- 2–16.2%
- 0–25.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Young Boys −0.5| Lausanne line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 12% | – | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | – | 73% |
| 0 | 27% | 20% | 53% |
| +0.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 21% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.