FC Zürich
Young Boys
The model leans Young Boys at 51%. Expected goals: FC Zürich 1.45, Young Boys 2.38. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 70%. FC Zürich won 2 of their last 6; Young Boys won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Zürich | 22% | 4.55 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.82 | – | – | – |
| 2Young Boys | 57% | 1.75 | – | – | – |
Pick: Young Boys. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 57%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 79%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.45 – 2.38| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| Both teams to score | Yes69% | No31% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.9%
- 1–17.5%
- 1–37.1%
- 2–26.5%
- 0–26.1%
- 2–15.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 60% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Young Boys −1| FC Zürich line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | – | 77% |
| 0 | 23% | 19% | 58% |
| +0.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 21% | 37% |
| +1.5 | 63% | – | 37% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.