Sion
FC Vaduz
The model leans Sion at 51%. Expected goals: Sion 2.02, FC Vaduz 1.08. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 58%. Sion won 3 of their last 6; FC Vaduz won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sion | 58% | 1.72 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.32 | – | – | – |
| 2FC Vaduz | 19% | 5.32 | – | – | – |
Pick: Sion. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 58%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 81%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.02 – 1.08| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% |
| Both teams to score | Yes57% | No43% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.8%
- 2–09.2%
- 1–09.1%
- 3–16.7%
- 3–06.2%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 55% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Sion −1| Sion line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 23% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
| 0 | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| +0.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.