Nykøbing FC
Vanløse IF
The model leans Nykøbing FC at 68%. Expected goals: Nykøbing FC 2.35, Vanløse IF 0.50. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 64%. Nykøbing FC won 3 of their last 6; Vanløse IF won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nykøbing FC | 78% | 1.28 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 16% | 6.18 | – | – | – |
| 2Vanløse IF | 5% | 18.32 | – | – | – |
Pick: Nykøbing FC. Calibrated probability 68% (raw model output 78%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 95%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.35 – 0.50| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% |
| Both teams to score | Yes35% | No65% |
Most likely scores
- 2–016.0%
- 1–013.6%
- 3–012.6%
- 2–18.0%
- 4–07.4%
- 1–16.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 50% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Nykøbing FC −1.5| Nykøbing FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| -1 | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| -0.5 | 79% | – | 21% |
| 0 | 79% | 15% | 6% |
| +0.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
| +1 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.