Predictions · 3. Division · outside model coverage

Vanløse IF

22
Lost

Frem

The model leans Vanløse IF at 41%. Expected goals: Vanløse IF 1.39, Frem 1.02. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 51%. Vanløse IF won 2 of their last 6; Frem won 0 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Vanløse IF44%2.26
XDraw30%3.39
2Frem26%3.81

Pick: Vanløse IF. Calibrated probability 41% (raw model output 44%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 74%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.39 – 1.02
LineOverUnder
1.569%31%
2.543%57%
3.522%78%
Both teams to scoreYes48%No52%

Most likely scores

  • 1112.7%
  • 1012.5%
  • 019.1%
  • 009.0%
  • 218.9%
  • 208.7%

Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 51% · BTTS No 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Vanløse IF −0.5
Vanløse IF lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.522%78%
-122%24%55%
-0.545%55%
045%27%28%
+0.572%28%
+172%17%10%
+1.590%10%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.