Predictions · 3. Division · outside model coverage

FC Helsingør

10
Lost

Frem

The model leans Frem at 51%. Expected goals: FC Helsingør 1.21, Frem 2.09. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 62%. FC Helsingør won 3 of their last 6; Frem won 0 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1FC Helsingør21%4.85
XDraw23%4.39
2Frem57%1.77

Pick: Frem. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 57%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 79%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.21 – 2.09
LineOverUnder
1.584%16%
2.564%36%
3.542%58%
Both teams to scoreYes61%No39%

Most likely scores

  • 129.8%
  • 119.4%
  • 028.1%
  • 017.8%
  • 136.8%
  • 225.9%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Frem −1
FC Helsingør lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.58%92%
-18%13%78%
-0.522%78%
022%21%58%
+0.542%58%
+142%23%35%
+1.565%35%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.