Predictions · 3. Division · outside model coverage

FC Helsingør

10
Won

Ishøj IF

The model leans FC Helsingør at 43%. Expected goals: FC Helsingør 1.91, Ishøj IF 1.50. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 67%. FC Helsingør won 3 of their last 6; Ishøj IF won 0 of their last 5.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1FC Helsingør47%2.15
XDraw24%4.16
2Ishøj IF29%3.39

Pick: FC Helsingør. Calibrated probability 43% (raw model output 47%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 76%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.91 – 1.50
LineOverUnder
1.585%15%
2.566%34%
3.544%56%
Both teams to scoreYes66%No34%

Most likely scores

  • 119.5%
  • 219.0%
  • 127.1%
  • 226.8%
  • 106.3%
  • 206.0%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: FC Helsingør −0.5
FC Helsingør lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.527%73%
-127%21%53%
-0.547%53%
047%22%30%
+0.570%30%
+170%16%14%
+1.586%14%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.