Predictions · 3. Division · outside model coverage

Brønshøj

00
Lost

Ishøj IF

The model leans Brønshøj at 64%. Expected goals: Brønshøj 2.92, Ishøj IF 1.15. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 65%. Brønshøj won 2 of their last 6; Ishøj IF won 0 of their last 5.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Brønshøj73%1.37
XDraw16%6.41
2Ishøj IF11%8.80

Pick: Brønshøj. Calibrated probability 64% (raw model output 73%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 89%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 2.92 – 1.15
LineOverUnder
1.591%9%
2.577%23%
3.558%42%
Both teams to scoreYes64%No36%

Most likely scores

  • 218.4%
  • 318.2%
  • 207.3%
  • 307.1%
  • 416.0%
  • 115.8%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 66% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Brønshøj −1.5
Brønshøj lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.554%46%
-154%20%26%
-0.574%26%
074%14%12%
+0.588%12%
+188%8%4%
+1.596%4%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.