Hørsholm Usserød IK
Ishøj IF
The model leans Hørsholm Usserød IK at 61%. Expected goals: Hørsholm Usserød IK 2.81, Ishøj IF 1.24. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 67%. Hørsholm Usserød IK won 2 of their last 6; Ishøj IF won 0 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hørsholm Usserød IK | 69% | 1.44 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 17% | 5.92 | – | – | – |
| 2Ishøj IF | 14% | 7.28 | – | – | – |
Pick: Hørsholm Usserød IK. Calibrated probability 61% (raw model output 69%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 86%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.81 – 1.24| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% |
| Both teams to score | Yes67% | No33% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.5%
- 3–18.0%
- 2–06.9%
- 3–06.4%
- 1–16.1%
- 4–15.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 65% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Hørsholm Usserød IK −1.5| Hørsholm Usserød IK line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| -1 | 50% | 20% | 30% |
| -0.5 | 70% | – | 30% |
| 0 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +0.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.