Hørsholm Usserød IK
Brønshøj
The model leans Hørsholm Usserød IK at 39%. Expected goals: Hørsholm Usserød IK 2.01, Brønshøj 1.86. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 74%. Hørsholm Usserød IK won 2 of their last 6; Brønshøj won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hørsholm Usserød IK | 42% | 2.40 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.43 | – | – | – |
| 2Brønshøj | 36% | 2.79 | – | – | – |
Pick: Hørsholm Usserød IK. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.01 – 1.86| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| Both teams to score | Yes73% | No27% |
Most likely scores
- 2–17.8%
- 1–17.8%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–27.2%
- 3–15.3%
- 3–24.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 60% · BTTS Yes 60%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Hørsholm Usserød IK 0| Hørsholm Usserød IK line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 19% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| 0 | 42% | 21% | 37% |
| +0.5 | 63% | – | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.