Brønshøj
Holbæk B&I
The model leans Holbæk B&I at 50%. Expected goals: Brønshøj 1.61, Holbæk B&I 2.37. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 73%. Brønshøj won 2 of their last 6; Holbæk B&I won 6 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Brønshøj | 25% | 3.99 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.78 | – | – | – |
| 2Holbæk B&I | 54% | 1.85 | – | – | – |
Pick: Holbæk B&I. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 54%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 79%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.61 – 2.37| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% |
| Both teams to score | Yes72% | No28% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.5%
- 1–17.1%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–36.7%
- 2–15.7%
- 2–35.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 61% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Holbæk B&I −0.5| Brønshøj line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 12% | – | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
| 0 | 26% | 20% | 55% |
| +0.5 | 45% | – | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 20% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.