Brønshøj
AB
The model leans AB at 50%. Expected goals: Brønshøj 1.59, AB 2.33. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 73%. Brønshøj won 2 of their last 6; AB won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Brønshøj | 25% | 3.96 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.72 | – | – | – |
| 2AB | 54% | 1.87 | – | – | – |
Pick: AB. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 54%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 79%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.59 – 2.33| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% |
| Both teams to score | Yes72% | No28% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.6%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–36.7%
- 2–15.9%
- 0–25.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 61% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: AB −0.5| Brønshøj line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 12% | – | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
| 0 | 26% | 20% | 54% |
| +0.5 | 46% | – | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 20% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.