Predictions · 1. Division · outside model coverage

Vendsyssel FF

03
Lost

AB

The model leans Vendsyssel FF at 36%. Expected goals: Vendsyssel FF 1.68, AB 1.67. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 67%. Vendsyssel FF won 2 of their last 6; AB won 2 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Vendsyssel FF38%2.65
XDraw25%4.03
2AB37%2.67

Pick: Vendsyssel FF. Calibrated probability 36% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 75%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.68 – 1.67
LineOverUnder
1.585%15%
2.565%35%
3.543%57%
Both teams to scoreYes66%No34%

Most likely scores

  • 119.9%
  • 218.3%
  • 128.2%
  • 226.9%
  • 105.9%
  • 015.9%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Vendsyssel FF 0
Vendsyssel FF lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.520%80%
-120%19%61%
-0.539%61%
039%23%38%
+0.562%38%
+162%19%19%
+1.581%19%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.