Vendsyssel FF
Hobro
The model leans Vendsyssel FF at 41%. Expected goals: Vendsyssel FF 1.55, Hobro 1.18. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 56%. Vendsyssel FF won 2 of their last 6; Hobro won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vendsyssel FF | 45% | 2.24 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.63 | – | – | – |
| 2Hobro | 28% | 3.61 | – | – | – |
Pick: Vendsyssel FF. Calibrated probability 41% (raw model output 45%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 72%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.55 – 1.18| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Both teams to score | Yes54% | No46% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–27.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 46% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Vendsyssel FF −0.5| Vendsyssel FF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 23% | – | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | – | 54% |
| 0 | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| +0.5 | 71% | – | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.