Hvidovre
Vendsyssel FF
The model leans Hvidovre at 43%. Expected goals: Hvidovre 1.64, Vendsyssel FF 1.21. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. Hvidovre won 4 of their last 6; Vendsyssel FF won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hvidovre | 46% | 2.17 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.75 | – | – | – |
| 2Vendsyssel FF | 27% | 3.68 | – | – | – |
Pick: Hvidovre. Calibrated probability 43% (raw model output 46%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.64 – 1.21| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% |
| Both teams to score | Yes57% | No43% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–17.0%
- 1–27.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Hvidovre −0.5| Hvidovre line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 25% | – | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| 0 | 47% | 24% | 28% |
| +0.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.