Predictions · 1. Division · outside model coverage

Kolding IF

01
Lost

Hvidovre

The model leans Kolding IF at 34%. Expected goals: Kolding IF 1.23, Hvidovre 1.16. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 50%. Kolding IF won 1 of their last 6; Hvidovre won 4 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Kolding IF37%2.73
XDraw30%3.30
2Hvidovre33%3.03

Pick: Kolding IF. Calibrated probability 34% (raw model output 37%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 70%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.23 – 1.16
LineOverUnder
1.569%31%
2.543%57%
3.522%78%
Both teams to scoreYes49%No51%

Most likely scores

  • 1113.1%
  • 1011.3%
  • 0110.6%
  • 009.2%
  • 218.0%
  • 127.6%

Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 52% · BTTS No 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Kolding IF 0
Kolding IF lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.516%84%
-116%21%62%
-0.538%62%
038%28%34%
+0.566%34%
+166%20%14%
+1.586%14%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.