Predictions · 1. Division · outside model coverage

Kolding IF

21
Lost

AB

The model leans AB at 36%. Expected goals: Kolding IF 1.39, AB 1.43. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. Kolding IF won 1 of their last 6; AB won 2 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Kolding IF35%2.83
XDraw28%3.64
2AB37%2.69

Pick: AB. Calibrated probability 36% (raw model output 37%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.39 – 1.43
LineOverUnder
1.577%23%
2.554%46%
3.531%69%
Both teams to scoreYes57%No43%

Most likely scores

  • 1111.8%
  • 018.5%
  • 128.5%
  • 108.2%
  • 218.2%
  • 026.1%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Kolding IF 0
Kolding IF lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.517%83%
-117%20%63%
-0.537%63%
037%25%38%
+0.562%38%
+162%20%18%
+1.582%18%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.