Esbjerg fB
Kolding IF
The model leans Esbjerg fB at 50%. Expected goals: Esbjerg fB 1.56, Kolding IF 0.99. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 51%. Esbjerg fB won 2 of their last 6; Kolding IF won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Esbjerg fB | 49% | 2.03 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.59 | – | – | – |
| 2Kolding IF | 23% | 4.36 | – | – | – |
Pick: Esbjerg fB. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 49%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.56 – 0.99| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% |
| Both teams to score | Yes50% | No50% |
Most likely scores
- 1–012.1%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–09.5%
- 2–19.4%
- 0–07.8%
- 0–17.8%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Esbjerg fB −0.5| Esbjerg fB line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 24% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| 0 | 50% | 25% | 24% |
| +0.5 | 76% | – | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 16% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.