Vejle Boldklub
Esbjerg fB
The model leans Vejle Boldklub at 39%. Expected goals: Vejle Boldklub 1.59, Esbjerg fB 1.34. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 60%. Vejle Boldklub won 5 of their last 6; Esbjerg fB won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vejle Boldklub | 42% | 2.38 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.74 | – | – | – |
| 2Esbjerg fB | 31% | 3.21 | – | – | – |
Pick: Vejle Boldklub. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.59 – 1.34| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% |
| Both teams to score | Yes59% | No41% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–27.6%
- 0–17.2%
- 2–06.7%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 51% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Vejle Boldklub 0| Vejle Boldklub line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | – | 57% |
| 0 | 43% | 24% | 32% |
| +0.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.