HB Køge
Vejle Boldklub
The model leans Vejle Boldklub at 37%. Expected goals: HB Køge 1.22, Vejle Boldklub 1.34. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 53%. HB Køge won 0 of their last 6; Vejle Boldklub won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1HB Køge | 33% | 3.07 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.44 | – | – | – |
| 2Vejle Boldklub | 38% | 2.61 | – | – | – |
Pick: Vejle Boldklub. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 71%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.22 – 1.34| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% |
| Both teams to score | Yes52% | No48% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.6%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–09.4%
- 1–28.5%
- 0–07.7%
- 2–17.7%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: HB Køge 0| HB Køge line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | – | 66% |
| 0 | 34% | 27% | 40% |
| +0.5 | 60% | – | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 21% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.