FC Helsingør
Hørsholm Usserød IK
The model leans Hørsholm Usserød IK at 50%. Expected goals: FC Helsingør 1.49, Hørsholm Usserød IK 2.16. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 69%. FC Helsingør won 3 of their last 6; Hørsholm Usserød IK won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Helsingør | 26% | 3.92 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.48 | – | – | – |
| 2Hørsholm Usserød IK | 52% | 1.92 | – | – | – |
Pick: Hørsholm Usserød IK. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 52%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.49 – 2.16| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% |
| Both teams to score | Yes68% | No32% |
Most likely scores
- 1–29.0%
- 1–18.4%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–36.5%
- 2–16.2%
- 0–26.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Hørsholm Usserød IK −0.5| FC Helsingør line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 12% | – | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
| 0 | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| +0.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 21% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.