Ringsted
FC Helsingør
The model leans Draw at 46%. Expected goals: Ringsted 0.40, FC Helsingør 0.58. Over 2.5 goals 92%, both teams to score 85%. Ringsted won 1 of their last 3; FC Helsingør won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ringsted | 20% | 5.06 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 49% | 2.06 | – | – | – |
| 2FC Helsingør | 32% | 3.17 | – | – | – |
Pick: Draw. Calibrated probability 46% (raw model output 49%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 80%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.40 – 0.58| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 92% |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% |
| Both teams to score | Yes14% | No86% |
Most likely scores
- 0–037.7%
- 0–121.7%
- 1–015.1%
- 1–18.7%
- 0–26.2%
- 2–03.0%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 72% · BTTS No 63%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Ringsted 0| Ringsted line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 4% | – | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 17% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | – | 79% |
| 0 | 21% | 47% | 32% |
| +0.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 24% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.