Ringsted
Sundby BK
The model leans Sundby BK at 47%. Expected goals: Ringsted 0.28, Sundby BK 0.89. Over 2.5 goals 89%, both teams to score 85%. Ringsted won 1 of their last 3; Sundby BK won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ringsted | 10% | 9.75 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.46 | – | – | – |
| 2Sundby BK | 49% | 2.04 | – | – | – |
Pick: Sundby BK. Calibrated probability 47% (raw model output 49%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 90%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.28 – 0.89| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% |
| Both teams to score | Yes14% | No86% |
Most likely scores
- 0–031.1%
- 0–127.8%
- 0–212.4%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–17.6%
- 0–33.7%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 71% · BTTS No 63%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Sundby BK −0.5| Ringsted line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1% | – | 99% |
| -1 | 1% | 10% | 89% |
| -0.5 | 11% | – | 89% |
| 0 | 11% | 39% | 50% |
| +0.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 31% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.