Predictions · 3. Division · outside model coverage

Vanløse IF

20
Won

Ringsted

The model leans Vanløse IF at 50%. Expected goals: Vanløse IF 0.81, Ringsted 0.16. Over 2.5 goals 93%, both teams to score 91%. Vanløse IF won 2 of their last 6; Ringsted won 1 of their last 3.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Vanløse IF49%2.02
XDraw44%2.27
2Ringsted7%15.31

Pick: Vanløse IF. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 49%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 93%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 0.81 – 0.16
LineOverUnder
1.525%75%
2.57%93%
3.52%98%
Both teams to scoreYes8%No92%

Most likely scores

  • 0037.9%
  • 1030.7%
  • 2012.4%
  • 016.1%
  • 114.9%
  • 303.3%

Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 72% · BTTS No 64%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Vanløse IF −0.5
Vanløse IF lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.517%83%
-117%33%50%
-0.550%50%
050%43%7%
+0.593%7%
+193%6%1%
+1.599%1%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.