VSK Aarhus
FC Helsingør
The model leans VSK Aarhus at 50%. Expected goals: VSK Aarhus 1.74, FC Helsingør 0.95. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 52%. VSK Aarhus won 5 of their last 6; FC Helsingør won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1VSK Aarhus | 55% | 1.82 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.88 | – | – | – |
| 2FC Helsingør | 19% | 5.22 | – | – | – |
Pick: VSK Aarhus. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 55%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 81%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.74 – 0.95| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% |
| Both teams to score | Yes50% | No50% |
Most likely scores
- 1–011.8%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–06.8%
- 0–16.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 38% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: VSK Aarhus −0.5| VSK Aarhus line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 31% | – | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| 0 | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| +0.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.