Nykøbing FC
Fremad Amager
The model leans Nykøbing FC at 70%. Expected goals: Nykøbing FC 2.65, Fremad Amager 0.40. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 69%. Nykøbing FC won 3 of their last 6; Fremad Amager won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nykøbing FC | 84% | 1.18 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 12% | 8.14 | – | – | – |
| 2Fremad Amager | 3% | 30.96 | – | – | – |
Pick: Nykøbing FC. Calibrated probability 70% (raw model output 84%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 97%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.65 – 0.40| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% |
| Both teams to score | Yes31% | No69% |
Most likely scores
- 2–016.6%
- 3–014.7%
- 1–012.5%
- 4–09.7%
- 2–16.7%
- 3–15.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 54% · BTTS No 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Nykøbing FC −2| Nykøbing FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 64% | – | 36% |
| -1 | 64% | 21% | 15% |
| -0.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
| 0 | 85% | 11% | 4% |
| +0.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
| +1 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.