Predictions · 2. Division · outside model coverage

Nykøbing FC

40
Won

B 93

The model leans Nykøbing FC at 74%. Expected goals: Nykøbing FC 3.75, B 93 0.70. Over 2.5 goals 82%, both teams to score 51%. Nykøbing FC won 3 of their last 6; B 93 won 2 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Nykøbing FC89%1.12
XDraw8%13.21
2B 933%33.78

Pick: Nykøbing FC. Calibrated probability 74% (raw model output 89%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 97%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 3.75 – 0.70
LineOverUnder
1.594%6%
2.582%18%
3.564%36%
Both teams to scoreYes49%No51%

Most likely scores

  • 3010.4%
  • 409.8%
  • 208.4%
  • 507.3%
  • 317.3%
  • 416.8%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS No 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Nykøbing FC −2
Nykøbing FC lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.576%24%
-176%13%10%
-0.590%10%
090%7%3%
+0.597%3%
+197%3%1%
+1.599%1%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.