B 93
FC Roskilde
The model leans B 93 at 43%. Expected goals: B 93 1.85, FC Roskilde 1.44. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 65%. B 93 won 2 of their last 6; FC Roskilde won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1B 93 | 46% | 2.16 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.07 | – | – | – |
| 2FC Roskilde | 29% | 3.43 | – | – | – |
Pick: B 93. Calibrated probability 43% (raw model output 46%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 75%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.85 – 1.44| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% |
| Both teams to score | Yes64% | No36% |
Most likely scores
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–27.2%
- 1–06.9%
- 2–26.6%
- 2–06.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: B 93 −0.5| B 93 line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| 0 | 47% | 23% | 30% |
| +0.5 | 70% | – | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 17% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.