FC Roskilde
HIK
The model leans FC Roskilde at 61%. Expected goals: FC Roskilde 2.56, HIK 1.03. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 60%. FC Roskilde won 2 of their last 6; HIK won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Roskilde | 70% | 1.43 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 18% | 5.57 | – | – | – |
| 2HIK | 12% | 8.11 | – | – | – |
Pick: FC Roskilde. Calibrated probability 61% (raw model output 70%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 88%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.56 – 1.03| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| Both teams to score | Yes59% | No41% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.3%
- 2–09.1%
- 3–18.0%
- 3–07.8%
- 1–17.3%
- 1–07.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FC Roskilde −1.5| FC Roskilde line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 49% | – | 51% |
| -1 | 49% | 22% | 30% |
| -0.5 | 70% | – | 30% |
| 0 | 70% | 17% | 13% |
| +0.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.