HIK
FA 2000
The model leans FA 2000 at 62%. Expected goals: HIK 0.63, FA 2000 2.11. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 58%. HIK won 1 of their last 6; FA 2000 won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1HIK | 9% | 11.05 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 20% | 4.98 | – | – | – |
| 2FA 2000 | 71% | 1.41 | – | – | – |
Pick: FA 2000. Calibrated probability 62% (raw model output 71%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 91%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.63 – 2.11| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams to score | Yes41% | No59% |
Most likely scores
- 0–214.3%
- 0–113.6%
- 0–310.1%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–18.6%
- 0–06.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 48% · BTTS No 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FA 2000 −1.5| HIK line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2% | – | 98% |
| -1 | 2% | 7% | 90% |
| -0.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| 0 | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| +0.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| +1 | 28% | 25% | 47% |
| +1.5 | 53% | – | 47% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.