FA 2000
Brabrand
The model leans FA 2000 at 57%. Expected goals: FA 2000 1.60, Brabrand 0.43. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 71%. FA 2000 won 1 of their last 6; Brabrand won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FA 2000 | 66% | 1.53 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.89 | – | – | – |
| 2Brabrand | 9% | 11.48 | – | – | – |
Pick: FA 2000. Calibrated probability 57% (raw model output 66%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 91%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.60 – 0.43| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% |
| Both teams to score | Yes28% | No72% |
Most likely scores
- 1–021.0%
- 2–016.8%
- 0–013.2%
- 1–19.0%
- 3–08.9%
- 2–17.2%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 58% · BTTS No 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FA 2000 −1| FA 2000 line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 37% | – | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| 0 | 66% | 24% | 10% |
| +0.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 8% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.